Will Phils Spend Big For Holliday Season?

Matt Holliday (Photo: Getty Images)

With a potential hole in left field, the Phillies are considering all options, but the list starts with Colorado's Matt Holliday. The price would be steep and Philly Baseball News has a look at the price tag and whether Holliday could replace the production of Pat Burrell in leftfield.

Matt Holliday is one of the bigger and most persistent names out there on the trade market these days and the Phillies are his biggest suitor. The Rockies would like to keep Holliday, but fear that the price tag is going to get too steep for them. Colorado avoided arbitration with Holliday in 2007 by signing him to a one-year, $4.4 million deal and then bought out his final two years of arbitration eligibility this past January with a two-year, $23 million deal that runs through the 2009 season. After that, Holliday is eligible for free agency.

The Phillies are among the many teams that have asked about Holliday and on Thursday, Colorado replied by asking about whether or not Shane Victorino could be included in a package for the powerful right-hand hitting Holliday. Including Victorino as part of the package isn't a deal-breaker for the Phillies, but it would be a hard pill for them to swallow, especially since Holliday is signed only for one season. It's also likely that the Rockies are going to want more than just Victorino.

Colorado has interest in young players in the Phillies system, such as Carlos Carrasco and Lou Marson. The Phillies likely have enough young players that they would be able to make a deal fit for the Rockies, if they're willing to part with the right combination of players that Colorado will be looking for.

Their pursuit of Holliday signals an active Plan B for leftfield with Pat Burrell eligible for free agency. Burrell has been adjusting his agent representation and has repeatedly said that his first choice is to stay in Philadelphia, but he and the Phillies haven't talked contract since an earlier, two-year, $22 million proposal was floated by the Phillies.

The Cardinals, A's, Mets and Rays are all interested in Holliday with the Phillies, A's and Cardinals being the lead contenders. St. Louis is considering whether they would include outfielder Ryan Ludwick in the deal to acquire Holliday.

So, with a steep price tag in what the Phillies would have to give up for Matt Holliday, would they be getting enough production in return?

Burrell vs. Holliday...Their first 5 seasons

PLAYER HR RBI AVG G AB R H 2B 3B BB KO SB OBP SLG
Holliday 128 483 .319 698 2656 479 848 188 23 251 505 66 .386 .552
Burrell 127 432 .253 696 2503 346 634 143 9 372 726 5 .351 .470

Burrell vs. Holliday... Their past 5 seasons

PLAYER HR RBI AVG G AB R H 2B 3B BB KO SB OBP SLG
Holliday 128 483 .319 698 2656 479 848 188 23 251 505 66 .386 .552
Burrell 148 479 .261 737 2480 375 647 127 5 491 677 2 .381 .495

Burrell just turned 32 in October and Holliday will turn 29 in January. With his superior numbers now, Holliday has the edge, but it's worth a look at their respective seasons when both were 28 years old. For Holliday, that would be this past season and for Burrell, it would be the 2005 season.

Burrell vs. Holliday... At age 28

PLAYER HR RBI AVG G AB R H 2B 3B BB KO SB OBP SLG
Holliday 25 88 .321 139 539 107 173 38 2 74 104 28 .409 .538
Burrell 32 117 .281 154 562 78 158 27 1 99 160 0 .389 .504

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