In many respects, the word "left" has been an almost pejorative word for the
few question marks surrounding the off-season for the reigning baseball world
champions. To wit...who will be patrolling "left" field come April 5 when the
team takes to the diamond against the Atlanta Braves? And whither "left"-handed
starting pitcher Jamie Moyer, he of local fame and a 16 win season, neither of
which is easily replaceable?
Admittedly the Phillies waited until the end of the winter meetings to supply
the answers to both questions but as Ruben Amaro and Company boarded their jets
for home it appears that they have answered the first question completely and
have at least formulated a sound plan that may well soon lead to the answer for
the second question.
Left [there is that word again!] handed hitting Raul Ibanez is the answer to the
first question and a two-year, 15 million dollar offer may well be enough to
entice Moyer back to end his career in the City of Brotherly Love. In both
cases, the players represent somewhat of a risk for the team because of their
advanced ages. Ibanez will start the 2009 season as a 37 year old and Moyer's
age is a well chronicled 46.
Although Ibanez comes with an outstanding resume of baseball success, including
an outstanding '08 campaign in Seattle, his signing did not meet with universal
appeal in Philadelphia and for many reasons that have nothing to do with his
talents alone. He signed a three-year deal valued at 30 million dollars.
As for Moyer, the signing will allay the fears of the phanatics who thought that
the stylish southpaw should be allowed to return unless his contract demands
proved far more cumbersome than they appeared to be. A two-year deal seems more
than fair, even considering his advanced age of 46, and if the deal eventually
comes in at about 15 million, this seems more than fair for a hurler who has
been part pitcher, part instructor and part sage adviser for a team that was
badly in need of all three when he was first acquired. Consider the first year
of the deal as a reward for his present skills and the second year as a reward
for his past services. In any event, two years would be more than fair.
The team also made a somewhat minor trade with the Pittsburgh Pirates at the
winter meetings in a swap of catchers, Jason Jaramillo and Ronny Paulino. The
Phils dealt the switch-hitting Jaramillo to the Bucs for the right-handed
hitting Paulino, a deal that seemed to insure that A] incumbent veteran Chris Coste would soon be moved and B] hot shot rookie Lou Marson would open the '09
campaign in Triple-A after much conjecture that he might make the teams roster
out of spring training.
There has also been much speculation that the Phightins' are in the market for
another veteran relief pitcher, one that could hurl multiple innings on a
regular basis. Reports had the team negotiating seriously with former Los
Angeles Dodgers right-hander Chan Ho Park for this role but it would seem
premature to assume this deal will take place simply because Park has indicated
a desire to be a starting pitcher and his agent is Scott Boras, notorious for
his aversion to sending his clients to Philadelphia at almost any price. If the
Park negotiations eventually prove fruitless, look for the Phillies to continue
their pursuit of a right-handed relief pitcher via trade or the free agency
With all this whirlwind activity taking place in such a short amount of time it
is not too early to assess the moves and conjecture just how they will play out
for a team hoping to repeat as champions of the baseball world in 2009.
Certainly the signing of Ibanez and Moyer and the deal for Paulino have gone a
long way towards determining the final roster in Philadelphia, though spring
training in still two months away. Let's examine the moves individually as well
The controversial signing of Raul Ibanez has already caused quite a stir among
the Philadelphia masses because his signature came with a big price. First and
foremost, it made certain the departure of long time Phillie left fielder,
slugger Pat Burrell, after nine seasons. This departure undoubtedly will be met
with a mixture of resignation, consternation and anticipation for the teams
always vocal phan base. Burrell was one of the more controversial figures during
his tenure with the team and in many respects represented almost a microcosm of
the teams fortunes, both as long time losers to eventual champions of the world.
Equally confusing to many is the addition of yet another left-handed hitter in
Ibanez. One of the main reasons for the justification in dealing former Phillie
Bobby Abreu back in the summer of 2006 was that his left-handed bat was a
detriment to the potential advancement of fellow lefty hitters Chase Utley and
Ryan Howard. Indeed, Pat Burrell provided a welcome protection base with his
righty bat in the middle of the order, something that Ibanez will be unable to
offer. It seems certain that the Phillies will not be able to offer a 3-4-5
middle of the order lineup that features Utley, Howard and Ibanez
This would only invite every opposing manager to bring him even his most
mediocre left-handed reliever on an almost nightly basis to face the Phillie
trio. Manager Charlie Manuel will need to find a way to wisely separate the
Phillie threesome, probably by placing righty Jayson Werth between the stances
of Howard and Ibanez.
Yet another reason for the dubious response to the acquisition of Ibanez is the
cost involved for a 37 year old player, albeit one that is still very
productive. Not only was the price tag 30 million dollars spread over three
seasons, but since Ibanez was a Type-A free agent offered arbitration by his
former team, the Seattle Mariners, he will cost the Phils their first round
draft pick in next June's amateur draft. For a team that has netted no less than
Chase Utley, Cole Hamels, Brett Myers and the departing Pat Burrell with past
first round picks, this does seem a steep price to pay.
Nevertheless, there are some compelling reasons to champion this signing, not
the least of which is Ibanez's seeming maturation as a ball player with each
advancing season. Clearly to this point, Ibanez has not been a player who has
declined with age. During the past three seasons he has seen his batting average
increase from .289 to .291 and then to a .293 average in 2008. All the while he
has averaged 26 home runs and 113 RBI over the same corresponding period.
It is also worth noting that these numbers were compiled while performing at
Safeco Field, a notorious pitchers park. It may also be worth noting that he hit
43 doubles in a spacious park and many of those doubles are likely to be home
runs at the more hitter friendly Citizens Bank Park.
There have also been some voiced concerns about his defense but it seems safe to
say that he is much less likely to be replaced on an almost nightly basis for
defensive purposes than was the slow footed Burrell. His arm is adequate,
especially for a left fielder and he is reported to be a very solid citizen in
If history is any indication, the Phils should expect to get diminishing returns
on the production rates of Raul Ibanez. There is every reason to believe that he
will more than earn his salary during the first season with a bit less offensive
production through the remaining two years of the deal. For a team that is
justifiably determined to defend their crown to the best of their ability, Raul
Ibanez is likely to provide another solid bat in the middle of the order.
The signing of Ibanez also puts to rest any thoughts of a platoon system in left
field. the smooth swinging lefty is an every day player, as witnessed by his 162
games played last year. The Phillie outfield now figures to consist of Jayson
Werth, Shane Victorino and Ibanez with Geoff Jenkins and Matt Stairs in reserve.
Look for young power hitting prospect John Mayberry Jr. to eventually thrust his
right-handed hitting bat into the equation somehow and if and when this happens,
either Jenkins or Stairs is likely to be jettisoned.
Make no mistake. Opposing right-handed hurlers will quake whenever facing the
lefty stances of Mssrs. Utley, Howard and Ibanez. What will be important is that
righty hitters like Pedro Feliz and Jayson Werth along with the switch-hitting
Jimmy Rollins and Shane Victorino do a good job of protecting the Phillie
lefties when they do encounter a southpaw pitcher.
With Moyer likely in tow the Phillies starting rotation seems all but set.
Certainly post-season star Cole Hamels has earned the mantle of "staff ace" and
might well be in line for a multi-year contract this off-season. The Phils hope
that righty Brett Myers can continue his maturation process and remain stable as
the number two starter on the staff. Once Moyer re-signs he will slot in
comfortably as the number three hurler with righty Joe Blanton pegged for the
fourth spot in the rotation.
No less a word than intriguing would define the potential pitcher who will
occupy the fifth spot in the starting rotation. Incumbent Kyle Kendrick, who won
11 games before faltering last season, is certain to vie for the spot but will
be pressed by youngsters J.A. Happ and Carlos Carrasco. Kendrick, who has been
mentioned prominently in off-season trade rumors, must regain the confidence in
his fastball to win back the starting spot that he relinquished last September
to southpaw J.A. Happ.
Happ, the stylish southpaw who pitched very effectively in his September starts,
figures in the rotation somewhere down the line unless he is moved in a deal.
Much like Kendrick, the lefty has been prominently mentioned in several
off-season trades, most notably for Chicago Cubs second baseman Mark DeRosa. To
their credit, the Phils have on more than one occasion indicated their
reluctance to part with the lanky and talented ex-Northwestern star.
If the Phils are naturally reluctant to part with Happ, they are absolutely
determined to resist dealing young Carlos Carrasco, arguably the best prospect
in what now is a fairly deep Phillie pharm system. Carrasco has everything it
takes to someday take his place among the top of the rotation starting pitchers
in Philadelphia and it would surprise no one if he was pitching at Citizens Bank
Park sometime next summer. Carlos Carrasco, a name to remember.
The Phillies have made little attempt to disguise their desire to bring in one
more solid relief pitcher, preferably a right-hander. Someone who can come into
a game and hurl two innings at a time in order to protect the arms of J. C.
Romero, Ryan Madson and Brad Lidge for the final innings of a game. Certainly
Chad Durbin fulfilled that role effectively last year but the team would like to
add at least one arm since the attrition rate of relief pitchers from year to
year is a high one.
With this in mind, it is understandable the rumors of an impending deal between
the Phils and veteran righty Chan Ho Park would surface. In fact, many reports
indicated the signing was "imminent." Perhaps, but probably not. As previously
mentioned, Park is represented by long time Phillie antagonist Scott Boras, an
agent well known for floating rumors whenever they serve his purposes,
regardless of the validity of said rumors.
It seems quite conceivable that Boras wants Park to sign elsewhere [perhaps back
with the Dodgers or somewhere else on the West Coast] and floated the Phillie
rumor to perhaps cause some consternation with the real team of Park's choice.
It is also well known that Chan Ho Park wishes to be a starting pitcher again
after several seasons in the bullpen and he is unlikely to even compete for a
starting berth in Philadelphia.
Should the team eventually ink the Korean righty they would be bringing in a
hurler who had a very solid 2008 campaign. He was healthy again for the first
time in several years and pitched in 54 games, all but five of them as a relief
pitcher. His record was 4-4 with a 3.40 ERA and hurled 95 innings with 79
strikeouts. It is well worth noting that Park has not started regularly since
2006 when he was pitching in San Diego.
If Park signs elsewhere, watch for the Phillies to renew their pursuit of
someone like righty Braden Looper, formerly of the St. Louis Cardinals. Looper,
whose uncle Benny Looper works for the Phillies, was a starting pitcher in 2008
with the Cards and fashioned a 12-14 record. However, he has effectively pitched
out of the bullpen in the past and might well enjoy a return to the pen given
the proper motivation. Pitching for the World Champions might well provide that
motivation. Stay tuned on Looper.
At first glance the deal for catcher Ronny Paulino seems a minor move, nothing
more than a small transaction of one former catching prospect for another.
Indeed, catcher Jason Jaramillo's star has dimmed considerably after several
seasons at the top of the Phillie catching prospect list. In defense of
Jaramillo, he played on an absolutely abysmal Triple-A Lehigh Valley club in '08
and the losing had to wear on the switch-hitting 26 year old. Still, he hit .266
in his second season in Triple-A and had once been considered the future
starting catcher in Philadelphia.
Several things have happened to change that thinking. For one thing, Carlos Ruiz
has taken the job and done just enough to maintain his role as the starting
backstop, at least for the early part of 2009. For another, the emergence of
young Lou Marson has completely revamped the thinking of the Phillie braintrust.
No longer is Marson considered merely a prospect. He is now considered a future
star in the making, and one of the very best prospects in baseball. It will
surprise no one if he is starting in Philadelphia by the end of the '09
The Phils also have a plethora of outstanding young catching prospects,
including Travis D'Arnaud, Joel Naughton and Sebastian Valle. In short, the team
was no longer interested in the potential of Jaramillo but rather the immediate
production of someone like Ronny Paulino. Whether they have guessed right or not
remains to be seen as it should be noted that former Phillie minor league
manager John Russell is the current skipper in Pittsburgh and wanted Jaramillo
in the deal.
As for Paulino, the proof will eventually be in the pudding. Should he return to
the form that made him an outstanding prospect in 2006-07 the Phils will have
found their backup to Ruiz. During those two seasons, Paulino hit .310 and .263
with home run totals of 6 and 11 and back-to-back campaigns with 55 RBI.
Respectable numbers, and more than enough to satisfy the Phils. However, Paulino
took a giant step backwards in 2008 and was finally banished to the minor
leagues in July.
His final numbers were quite pedestrian, a .212 batting average and but two home
runs and 18 RBI. Perhaps even more condemning were the whispers of a bad
attitude, lazy work habits and an inability to concentrate on the task at hand.
Admittedly, he would not be the first person to suffer from these ailments in
Pittsburgh, given the continual losing on a yearly basis, but that will not be
an excuse in Philadelphia. The back up job is his for the taking.
Of course, in baseball as in life, one mans gain is another mans loss and if
Paulino succeeds, that will make veteran Chris Coste and his feel good story
quite expendable. While certainly appreciative of Coste's efforts during the
past two years, the reality is that the more he played the less effective he was
and he was never going to be the quintessential defensive catcher that Manuel
and Company look for in a backstop. Watch for the Phillies to move Coste in a
trade if Paulino works out well, and moving a major league catcher is rarely a
There may be one more small twist to the Ronny Paulino acquisition, albeit a
tiny one and probably not something that new Phillie GM Ruben Amaro would be
particularly adept at just yet. Still, it is worth noting that the Florida
Marlins are in need of a catcher and have openly coveted Paulino since last
Maybe, just maybe, Amaro has his eye on someone in the Marlins system and hopes
to use Paulino as his trading chip. This is a tool seldom perfected by any but
the very best major league general managers so if Amaro eventually performs this
small bit of GM magic, it will be a large and well earned feather in his cap.
More than likely though, he acquired Paulino to play him and not to trade him.
Ruben Amaro now has several trading chips at his disposal, though none of them
are likely to be seen as any more than spare parts to other organizations. In
addition to Coste, the Phils may well wish to move either Jenkins or Stairs in a
minor move and have let it be known that they will deal pitcher Adam Eaton for a
song to any willing partner. Well, if not a song then no more than one million
dollars and a song. Eaton is scheduled to make nine million of the final year of
his three-year contract and the Phils have indicated they will pay up to eight
million of that contract if only a team will take him off their hands. Given the
state of pitching today in major league baseball, don't be surprised if some
team doesn't take the bait sometime in the spring.
Not as likely to be moved are pitchers Kyle Kendrick and J.A. Happ and infielder
Jason Donald. Amaro indicated that all three were very much in demand during the
winter meetings and all could have been had, but for a high price tag. The Phils
contemplated dealing Donald, a budding infield star, for outfielder Delmon Young
of the Minnesota Twins but with the signing of Ibanez, that deal is now dead. As
previously mentioned, the Phils tried to pry infielder Mark DeRosa from the Cubs
as part of a three team deal with the Padres and were willing to part with
either Happ or Kendrick in the trade but the Cubs were unwilling or unable to
make the deal for Padre ace right-hander, Jake Peavy. Again, given the deal for
Ibanez, the acquisition of DeRosa now seems somewhat superfluous.
Yet, in the first 40 days of Amaro's new administration he has shown an ability
to make the risky move, despite the protestations of many other knowledgeable
baseball people. The dealing of former top draft pick Greg Golson for young
power-hitting prospect John Mayberry Jr. was seen by some as a dubious move but
given the Phillies penchant for hitting home runs in their hitter friendly ball
park, the deal looks like a potential winner down the line for Amaro.
The same holds true of the Paulino deal. He is likely to be rejuvenated in a
winning organization and might just provide some much needed power behind the
plate, something that Ruiz is loathe to offer. If the Phils sign Moyer and Park,
and the likelihood is that at least one of these transactions gets done, the
pitching staff will quietly fall into place and the controversial signing of
outfielder Raul Ibanez is a move that definitely provides Amaro with an
immediate imprint on the team he has now been entrusted with guiding.
It was once said that "the chief danger in life is that you may take too many
precautions." Certainly the deal for Ibanez shows that at least for the time
being, Ruben Amaro has chosen to throw caution to the wind. With these moves,
the Phils have decided to join the New York Mets, New York Yankees and Boston
Red Sox in aggressively pursuing talent wherever they can find it.
Even in a difficult economy the daily task of a professional baseball team is to
attempt to build the best team possible, given the financial restraints
inevitably placed on every club. In the end, the question becomes, which teams
choose to be "in" and which teams choose to be "out." Clearly, the Phillies have
placed their names authoritatively on the list of teams decidedly...not left
Spring Training Announcement!!! What better way to celebrate the 2008
Champions than to attend Spring Training in Clearwater, Florida with Allen Ariza
[aka CD from the Left Coast]. We will spend 4 days, March 20-23 at the Phillies
spring site, watching the team prepare to defend their title while also visiting
with the players in the sun and fun that only Florida can provide. The trip will
include 3 nights stay at a 3 star local hotel, several outstanding meals, many
baseball related activities, and at least two spring training games. For more
information on this once in a lifetime opportunity, please email me at
firstname.lastname@example.org for more information and cost. See you in
Columnist's Note: Please email all questions and comments to
email@example.com and I will respond. Thank you! CD from the Left